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It's not that I'm so smart, it's just that I stay with problems longer.
Albert Einstein

 
 
Analysis-Strategy-Execution-Management
and of course-money management
 
 
Although this site is about trading options, you cant trade FX options if you cant trade forex...so here is a brief overview of how I trade forex. I trade very similar to this guys style ....price action......so check it out..
 
 
 Study a million charts over a period of 10 years and you will begin to see reoccuring paterns within, what seems to be random movement.


If all the economists were laid end to end, they'd never reach a conclusion.
George Bernard Shaw

Fundamental and technical analysis go hand in hand,  along with many, if not all economic and world news events.
 
 
 
 
Fundamental Analysis    http://www.pfxglobal.com/
 
 
file: predicting price movement............find it
 
 
 
Weeeeeeeeeeeeeee Doggie !   I think I've got it !
 
Who is really running the FX show ? Have you ever seen the markets move the wrong way after a major news release ? It makes no sense to me..........however ,  the CENTRAL BANKS may have a different agenda, and what a better time to move the market.
 
 
Who are these evil market movers ?
 
 
 
Don't stay in bed, unless you can make money in bed.
George Burns

 
 
My  FX trading system ( with due diligence to the above info, which I refer to as being "in the game" ) I also use this stuff :
 
1) SUPPORT
2) RESISTANCE
3) FIBS
4) PIVOTS
5) TIME FRAMES (month,week,daily,4 hr)
6)TRADE SETUP (1 hr,30 min,15 min)
7) PINPOINT ENTRY (5 min, 1 min if scalping)
8) EXIT (S / R, fib, pivot)
9) TIMING is everything in relation to economic announcements and major markets open / close. Also certain times of day are more predictable for scalping.
10) DUMB LUCK..........comes in handy on occassion
 
maybe a little MACD or Stochastics
 There are a number of  pretty good indicator based systems  posted on ForexFactory forum:
 
 
You can set all this up on:   http://www.metaquotes.net/metatrader/
or any other charting service
 
Success consists of going from failure to failure without loss of enthusiasm.
Winston Churchill
 
 
This is how I trade the "spot" FX market....but FX "options" is a whole different ballgame. It is primarily about risk aversion. Risk is a scary thing....it is what trading is about.
 
 
Trading Tip :  Double top or double bottom with a MACD divergence =  90% + probability. The range of movement may vary......so watch this trade closely.
 
NO PAIN.........NO GAIN.........NO GUTS.......NO GLORY
 

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This is a 4 hour chart of GBP/USD
There are 2 lines on the chart with arrows pointing to them
These lines are support and resistance, they sometimes go back for weeks, months, and even years (these lines were drawn from price action weeks ago......get it ? )
 
There is no trade untill price approaches one of these lines
 
A famous trader once said :
There is only one side of the market and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side.
Jesse Livermore

 

 " the big money is in the sittin' and waitin' "

Jesse Livermore


 
 
The trades will come to you, if you are prepared.
If you are not prepared, nothing will come to you.
fxoptionguy
 

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This is a monthly chart of USD/JPY
Looks to me that it is very near support
There will soon be a trade on this pair
 
LOOK AT THE BIG PICTURE FIRST

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This is a 15 min chart of EUR/USD
If you know which way this is going, please send me an email and tell me your secret
Because....I DONT HAVE A CLUE..........................
 
Experience is one thing you can't get for nothing.
Oscar Wilde

 

Trading Tip: If you have the patience to wait for the "Perfect Setup".....your win rate will improve exponentially........most traders are impatient. If you can " handle the truth " we are only looking for "a few good trades".


 
 
 
 
 
Now that we are seasoned traders, its time to open :

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